I'd be surprised if even 10 (total) original iPhone customers bought a Pre. People switching from an iPhone 3G to a Pre, with or without contract is just not likely going to be happening. At least not in numbers large enough to even begin to quantify.

The trash talk is as ridiculous coming from this guy as it would be coming from the president of Meizu. He must think this market is the same as the one Palm took over from Apple in the mid nineties. The difference this time is that the customer base is not made entirely of geeks that look like McNamee. And it's more than 1000 customers globally.